Weather impact revealed in Defra production estimates

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Defra’s first estimates of English cereal and oilseed rape production show the impact of another challenging season.

Total cereals (wheat, barley, oats) output is provisionally down in 2025, with a fall in barley output offsetting a small rise for wheat.

Defra forecasts English wheat production for 2025 at 10.6 Mt, which is a 4.9% increase on the previous season but still well below the ten-year average of 12.9 Mt. Defra puts this down to an 8.8% rise in the cropped area.  At 7.0 t/ha, yields were also short of the average.

The 2025 English barley harvest is provisionally estimated at 4.2 million tonnes, a 14% decrease on 2024, driven by a 23% fall in spring barley and a 2.2% decline in winter barley production.

Despite a 9.4% increase in the oat area production fell by 2.3% in 2025, with yields down by 11%.

Defra forecasts wheat straw production to be similar to last season at 2.6 million tonnes. Barley straw production, however, fell in 2025 by 27% to 1.2 million tonnes.

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